The transformation of the electoral behavior of Russians in the changing electoral legislation in the 2000s
Abstract
This article examines the transformation of the determinants of electoral behavior in the elections for the regional executive and legislative power until 2013. The author comes to the conclusion that the instrumental model of the explanations of electoral behavior in the elections for the Legislative Assembly is not functional in the analysis of recent election cycles. At the same time, the voting in the gubernatorial elections, earlier explained by ideological identification, has close connection with socio-economic models. Finally, the author provides several key explanations of this transformation: the volatility of electoral preferences, the restrictions of voters in assessing the benefits and costs of choice and the influence of informal institutions and practices on the regional election process.
References
1. Гришин Н.В. Устойчивость территориальных различий электоральных предпочтений населения (На примере юга России) // Политическая экспертиза. M., 2006. № 2.
2. Колосов В.А., Бородулина Н.А. Электоральные предпочтения избирателей крупных городов России: типы и устойчивость // Полис. M., 2004. № 4.
3. Мелешкина Е. «Воронка причинности» в электоральных исследованиях // Полис. М., 2002. № 5.
4. Нуреев Р., Шульгин С. Модель политического делового цикла с учетом рентоориентированного поведения в теории общественного выбора // Вопросы экономики. М., 2003. № 6.
5. Страхов А.П. Изучение электорального поведения россиян: социокультурный подход // Полис. М., 2000. № 3.
6. Туровский Р.Ф. региональное измерение электорального процесса // Общественные науки и современность. М., 2006. № 5.
7. Шевченко Ю. Поведение избирателей в России: основные подходы // Политическая наука. М., 2003. № 3 / www.socioline.ru/files/shievchienko-eliektoralnyie_tieorii.doc (дата обращения: 01.02.2015).
8. Шумпетер Й. Капитализм, социализм и демократия. М.: Экономика, 1995. 540 c.
9. Alesina A. Macroeconomic Policy in a Two-Party System as a Repeated Game // Quarterly Journal of Economics. Cambridge., 1987. № 102.
10. Boix C., Stokes S. The Oxford Handbook of Comparative Politics. New York: Oxford University Press, 2009. 1021 p.
11. Campbell A., Philip C., Warren M., Donald S. The American Voter. New York: John Wiley & Sons, 1960. 573 p.
12. Clarke H., Mishler W., Whiteley P. Recapturing the Falklands: models of Conservative popularity, 1979-83 // British Journal of Political Science. London. 1990. № 20.
13. Downs A. An Economic Theory of Democracy. NY: Harper & Row, 1957. 310 p.
14. Fiorina M. Retrospective Voting in American National Elections. New Haven: Yale University Press, 1981. 193 p.
15. Hibbs D. The Partisan Model of Macroeconomic Cycles: More Theory and Evidence for the United States // Economics and Politics. Chicago., 1994. № 6.
16. Ikeda K., Huckfeldt R. Political Communication and Disagreement among Citizens in Japan and the United States // Political Behavior. Lexington., 2001. № 1.
17. Key V. The Responsible Electorate. NY.: Vintage Books, 1966. 158 p.
18. Knutsen O. Class Voting in Western Europe: A Comparative Longitudinal Study. Lexington: Lanham, 2006. 227 p.
19. Lewis-Beck M., Stegmeier M. Economic Determinants of Electoral Outcomes // Annual Review of Political Science. Washington., 2000. № 3.
20. Lipset S., Rokkan S. Party systems and voter alignments: Cross-national perspectives. New York: Free Press, 1967. 554 p.
21. Mueller J. Presidential Popularity from Truman to J ohnson // American Political Science Review. Washington., 1970. № 1.
22. Powell G., Whitten G. A cross-national analysis of economic voting: taking account of the political context // American Journal of Political Science. Houston., 1993. № 37.
23. Russet D., Klingemann H. The Oxford Handbook of Political Behaviour. Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2007. 992 p.
24. Tufte E. Determinants of the Outcomes of Midterm Congressional Elections // American Political Science Review. Washington, 1975. № 3.
Review
For citations:
Ahiev A.O. The transformation of the electoral behavior of Russians in the changing electoral legislation in the 2000s. Outlines of global transformations: politics, economics, law. 2015;8(2):96-109. (In Russ.)
Views:
541
Email this article 