China and Modeling of the “New Geopolitical Reality” in Africa
Abstract
The article is devoted to the analysis of China’s potential in Africa in the geopolitical, trade-economic, financial-investment and military strategic dimensions and their implementation to the Sino-African policy. The geopolitical and economic parameters of the development of Sino-African relations remain stable, while the military factor tends to increase. The data, provided by the authors, allow us to analyze, which of the countries-followers of the PRC are under the strategic geopolitical guardianship of China to the extent that allows them to protect Chinese interests in these countries comprehensively, that is, both politically and militarily. The authors conclude that stable and strong relations between the African countries-followers of China and the PRC in the foreseeable future will inevitably come into conflict with the interests of other global players in Africa, primarily the United States. The economic content of the concept of a follower-country is increasingly colored by a neocolonial meaning, when overcoming the backwardness of African follower-countries from their leader-countries not only did not decrease, but also artificially preserved and even increased. The positive meaning of the concept of a follower-country was devolved so much that a country could be a follower of not necessarily one, but two or even more global geopolitical players. In the period from 2017 to 2022, the military aspect in the justification of the PRC’s foreign policy took an important place, and in the conflict zones of Asia and Africa came out on top, thereby completing the design of the Chinese geopolitical doctrine of global leadership.
About the Authors
E. I. ZelenevRussian Federation
Evgeny I. ZELENEV, DSc, Professor, Director of the Institute of Asian and African Studies
Еmbankment Griboedov Canal, 123a, Saint Petersburg, 190068
M. A. Soloshcheva
Russian Federation
Maria A. SOLOSHCHEVA, PhD, Associate Professor of the Department of Chinese, Southeast and South Asian Studies
Еmbankment Griboedov Canal, 123a, Saint Petersburg, 190068
References
1. Acemoglu D., Robinson J.A. (2013). Why Nations Fail: The Origins of Power, Prosperity, and Poverty. Great Britain : Profile Books ltd., 560 pp.
2. Amin S. (1973). Neo-Colonialism in West-Africa. Harmondsworth : Penguin Books, 298 pp.
3. Cardoso F.H., Faletto E. (1979). Dependency and Development in Latin America. Berkley : University of California Press, 227 pp.
4. Deich T.L. (2014). China ‘wins’ Africa. Moscow : Institut Afriki RAN, 380 pp. (in Russian).
5. Fituni L.L. (2019). Towards a Neo-bipolar Model of the World Order: Scouting Game in Africa. Outlines of Global Transformations: Politics, Economics, Law, vol. 12, no. 3, pp. 6–29 (in Russian). DOI: 10.23932/2542-0240-2019-12-3-6-29.
6. He A. (2018). The Emerging Model of Economic Policy Making under Xi Jinping. China’s Political Structure and Decision-making Process. Centre for International Governance Innovation. CIGI Papers, no. 208, vii, 38 pp.
7. Li А. (2018). Security protection of China’ International Immigrants: Promotion and Extension of Responsibilitie. Journal of Public Security Science, no. 5, pp. 1–9 (in Chinese).
8. Li X., Zhang Ch. (2022). Imagined Brother or Realistic Partner. – The Historical Narratives on China-Africa Relations. Beijing Cultural Review, no. 4, pp. 14–22 (in Chinese).
9. Lisimba A.F. (2020). China’s Trade and Investment in Africa: Impact on Development, Employment Generation & Transfer of Technology. Germany : Springer Nature Singapore, 339 pр.
10. Luo J. (2022). Historical development and Theoretical Characteristics of CPC’s View of Africa. West Asia and Africa, no. 5, pp. 43–66 (in Chinese).
11. Lu W., Zhao X. (2009). Liang Shuming’s Viewpoint of Chinese and Western Cultures in the Substance of Chinese Culture (SUBS-CC). Contemporary Chinese Thought, vol. 40, no. 3, pp. 52–66. DOI: 10.2753/CSP1097-1467400303.
12. Lukin A. (2022). The Sino-US Conflict in the Light of History of International Relations. World Economy and International Relations, vol. 66, no. 1, pp. 16–27 (in Russian). DOI: 10.20542/0131-2227-2022-66-1-16-27.
13. Model… (2019). Voskressenski A.D. (ed.). Model of Contemporary China Development: Appraisals, Discussions, Prognostications. Moscow : MGIMO, Strategicheskie izyskaniya publ., 736 pp. (in Russian).
14. Mourao P.R. (2018). What is China seeking from Africa. An analysis of the economic and political determinants of Chinese Outward Foreign Direct Investment based on Stochastic Frontier Models. China Economic Review, vol. 48, April, pp. 258–268. DOI: 10.1016/j.chieco.2017.04.006.
15. Prebisch R. (2006). Power, Principle, and the Ethics of Development. Buenos Aires : IDB-INTAL, 126 pp.
16. Wu Ch., He Y., Wei B. (2022). Xi Jinping’s View of China-Africa Cooperation in the New Era: Historical Background, Ideological Connotation and Practical Value West Asia and Africa, no. 5, pp. 67–85 (in Chinese).
17. Xu Zh., Zhang Yu (2022). Lightening up Africa: The effects of Chinese aid on the economic development in Africa. China Economic Quarterly International, vol. 2, no. 3, pp. 178–189. DOI: 10.1016/j.ceqi.2022.08.004.
18. Yin Y. (2022). Great Power’s African Policy Adjustment and China’s Reply. World Affairs, no. 1, pp. 20–23 (in Chinese).
19. Zakharov A.N., Rusak N.A. (2018). Foreign trade of China with African countries. Russian Foreign Economic Bulletin, no. 4, pp. 68–75 (in Russian).
20. Zelenev E.I., Soloshcheva M.A. (2021a). 20 years of China politics in Africa: from the past towards future. Asia and Africa Today, no. 1, pp. 5–14 (in Russian). DOI: 10.31857/S032150750013956-3.
21. Zelenev E.I., Soloshcheva M.A. (2021b). Military Strategy and Military Presence of the PRC in Africa: a Comparative Historical Analysis. Comparative Politics, no. 3, pp. 142–164 (in Russian). DOI: 10.24411/2221-3279-2021-10033.
22. Zelenev E.I., Soloshcheva M.A. (2022). China in Africa: from partner countries to follower countries. Part 1. Asia and Africa Today, no. 7, pp. 12–21 (in Russian). DOI: 10.31857/S032150750020973-2.
23. Zhang Y., Pan J. (2019). Analysis of the Adjustment of China’s Foreign Policy from Zhou Enlai’s Visits of Ten African Countries. Journal of National Museum of China, no. 10, pp. 47–57 (in Chinese).
Review
For citations:
Zelenev E.I., Soloshcheva M.A. China and Modeling of the “New Geopolitical Reality” in Africa. Outlines of global transformations: politics, economics, law. 2022;15(4):41-59. (In Russ.)