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Long-term Scenarios of Global Power Industry Development: Main Tendencies and Uncertainties

https://doi.org/10.31249/kgt/2022.02.02

Abstract

Scenario analysis of world electricity in the long-term perspective within the general context of global economic growth allowed the authors to conclude that perspective dynamics of electricity in the world leading production and consumption centers will be decisively influenced by complex and heterogeneous factors, including: first, primary energy resources endowment; second, level and type of economic development; third, countries capacities to mobilize financial and investment resources necessary for promotion of new renewable energy sources; fourth, national economic and energy strategies. Depending on these factors countries will remain at very different stages of energy transition at the foreseeable future. There is no a universal model of energy transition.

About the Authors

O. B. Reznikova
Center for Energy Research Primakov National Research Institute of World Economy and International Relations of the Russian Academy of Sciences
Russian Federation

Oksana B. REZNIKOVA, PhD in History, Senior Research Fellow

117997, Profsoyuznaya St., 23, Moscow



M. V. Sinitsyn
Center for Energy Research Primakov National Research Institute of World Economy and International Relations of the Russian Academy of Sciences
Russian Federation

Mikhail V. SINITSYN, Research Fellow

117997, Profsoyuznaya St., 23, Moscow



I. Z. Gakhokidze
Center for Energy Research Primakov National Research Institute of World Economy and International Relations of the Russian Academy of Sciences
Russian Federation

Irine Z. GAKHOKIDZE, Junior Research Fellow

117997, Profsoyuznaya St., 23, Moscow



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Review

For citations:


Reznikova O.B., Sinitsyn M.V., Gakhokidze I.Z. Long-term Scenarios of Global Power Industry Development: Main Tendencies and Uncertainties. Outlines of global transformations: politics, economics, law. 2022;15(2):33-48. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.31249/kgt/2022.02.02

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