Elections in Georgia in 2016 and the Perspectives of the Russian-Georgian Relations
https://doi.org/10.23932/2542-0240-2016-9-5-77-94
Abstract
The article deals with the distribution of political forces before the parliamentary elections in Georgia in 2016, their process and results, their influence on the current status of the relations between Georgia and Russia. For 25 years, Georgian political system has passed a difficult way of development. By the early 2010s in fact the country had developed a one-party system on the basis of which the regime of Saakashvili was formed. However, at the parliamentary elections in 2012 the system collapsed. Contrary to numerous predictions a new political force - “Georgian Dream ” led by V Ivanishvili won. Nevertheless, the elections of 2016 has shown that the old system is recurring: the question is about the dominance of one political party without obvious ideology and program. The main advantage of “Georgian Dream” is its pragmatism and realism. The defeated political forces have tackled a situation of deep and almost desperate crisis. However, the ruling party is facing serious challenges. The Georgian economy is going through hard times. The perspectives of integration in western economic, military and political space for the country is unobvious. The relations with Russia despite some positive tendencies have some significant political constraints which every ruling political force in Georgia shall take into consideration. Diametrically opposite positions of Moscow and Tbilisi related to the problem of Abkhazia and South Ossetia do not allow to expect a fundamental change in the political dialogue which has a semi-frozen status.
Keywords
Georgia,
Georgian Dream,
Ivanishvili,
United National Movement,
Saakashvili,
USA,
European Union,
Russia
About the Authors
V. M. Mukhanov
Center for the Caucasian studies and regional security of the Institute for International Studies, at MGIMO-University;
Institute of World Economy and International Relations of the Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS)
Russian Federation
Ph.D. in History, Senior Researcher at the Center for the Caucasian studies and regional security of the Institute for International Studies, at MGIMO-University; Leading Researcher at the Institute of World Economy and International Relations of the Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS)
Russian Federation
Ph.D. in History, Senior Researcher at the Center for the Caucasian studies and regional security of the Institute for International Studies, at MGIMO-University; Leading Researcher at the Institute of World Economy and International Relations of the Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS)
A. Y. Skakov
Center for the Caucasian studies and regional security of the Institute for International Studies, at MGIMO-University;
Institute of World Economy and International Relations of the Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS)
Russian Federation
Ph.D. in History, Senior Researcher at the Center for the Caucasian studies and regional security of the Institute for International Studies, at MGIMO-University; Leading Researcher at the Institute of World Economy and International Relations of the Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS)
Russian Federation
Ph.D. in History, Senior Researcher at the Center for the Caucasian studies and regional security of the Institute for International Studies, at MGIMO-University; Leading Researcher at the Institute of World Economy and International Relations of the Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS)
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Review
For citations:
Mukhanov V.M., Skakov A.Y. Elections in Georgia in 2016 and the Perspectives of the Russian-Georgian Relations. Outlines of global transformations: politics, economics, law. 2016;9(5):77-94. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.23932/2542-0240-2016-9-5-77-94
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