Незаконный транснациональный бизнес и государство

Настоящая статья вносит вклад в дискуссию о последствиях незаконной транснациональной деятельности для государств. Новейшие направления концептуализации транснациональной организованной преступности позволяют определять последнюю скорее как экономическую деятельность с целью получения прибыли, а не как преступную деятельность. Развитие незаконной транснациональной экономической деятельности в значительной степени соответствует трендам в развитии легального бизнеса. Транснациональные криминальные предприятия возникали одновременно с ростом транснациональных корпораций, используя те же возможности, что и легальный бизнес. В статье обсуждается использование насилия транснациональными преступными группами, дается обзор текущих теоретических дебатов о взаимоотношениях криминальных бизнес-групп с государством. Далее в статье проводится эмпирический анализ влияния присутствия незаконного бизнеса на слабость государства. Автор предполагает, что в слабых государствах присутствие транснационального криминального бизнеса более вероятно. Полученные результаты подтверждают значительную корреляцию между этими двумя переменными: слабость государства позитивно коррелирует с присутствием организованной преступности. При этом незначительное присутствие незаконного бизнеса не является детерминантом слабости или силы государства.

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