Исследование сложного будущего Бангладеш в контексте региональной геополитической динамики

Бангладеш служит важным связующим звеном между Южной и Юго-Восточной Азией и имеет важное стратегическое значение для всех основных региональных и глобальных игроков. Цель данной статьи – проанализировать будущее Бангладеш в контексте сложной региональной динамики и внешнеполитических реакций само_́й страны на них. Автор исследует, как растущая геополитическая конкуренция и соперничество между крупными державами, наряду с их значительным влиянием на Бангладеш, порождают серьезные проблемы для страны. Чтобы понять стратегию Дакки в отношении этих держав, в исследовании проведен подробный обзор новейшей научной литературы, полевых исследований и углубленных интервью. Анализ показывает, что Бангладеш проводит умеренную внешнюю политику, чтобы поддерживать отношения со всеми ключевыми региональными и внерегиональными державами. Тем не менее способность Дакки эффективно проводить свою внешнюю политику сдерживается ее неспособностью создать рычаги влияния на доминирующие державы. В статье делается вывод о том, что влияние ключевых держав на политический ландшафт Бангладеш может привести к тому, что страна присоединится к определенному силовому блоку или сохранит нейтралитет в ближайшем будущем – в зависимости от меняющейся региональной и глобальной политической динамики. Таким образом, исследование предполагает, что, разрабатывая свои краткосрочные и долгосрочные планы и стратегии, Бангладеш может создать рычаги влияния и оставаться на правильном пути, не попадая в ловушку геополитики.

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