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<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="ru"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">centero</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="ru">Контуры глобальных трансформаций: политика, экономика, право</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Outlines of global transformations: politics, economics, law</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">2542-0240</issn><issn pub-type="epub">2587-9324</issn><publisher><publisher-name>Center for Crisis Society Studies</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.23932/2542-0240-2021-14-1-3</article-id><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">centero-718</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>Страницы прошлого</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="en"><subject>The Pages of the Past</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>Правовые акты о независимости прибалтийских республик 1988–1990 гг. как основа для моделирования механизма предотвращения сецессий</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Legal Acts on the Independence of the Baltic Republics 1988–1990 As a Basis for Modeling the Secession Prevention Mechanism</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5188-4377</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Хащина</surname><given-names>Э. Э.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Haschina</surname><given-names>E. E.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Эллина Эдуардовна Хащина - кандидат юридических наук, доцент, кафедра конституционного и административного права</p><p>305000, ул. Радищева, д. 33, Курск</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Ellina E. Haschina - PhD in Law, Assistant Professor, Department of Constitutional and Administrative Law</p><p>305000, Radishcheva St., 33, Kursk </p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">ellenberns1408@gmail.com</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff-1"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>ФГБОУ ВО «Курский государственный университет»</institution><country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>Kursk State University</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2021</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>27</day><month>01</month><year>2021</year></pub-date><volume>14</volume><issue>1</issue><issue-title>Сепаратизм, сецессионизм и государственные границы</issue-title><fpage>52</fpage><lpage>73</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Хащина Э.Э., 2021</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2021</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Хащина Э.Э.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Haschina E.E.</copyright-holder><license xml:lang="ru" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.</license-p></license><license xml:lang="en" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://www.ogt-journal.com/jour/article/view/718">https://www.ogt-journal.com/jour/article/view/718</self-uri><abstract><p>Для современных государств сецессия является радикальным способом разрешения накопившихся противоречий с «материнскими» государствами, в состав которых они вошли в силу тех или иных причин. Еще со времен принятия Декларации независимости Соединенных Штатов 1776 г. в международной практике возникла традиция оформления сецессии особым актом о независимости, в котором его создатели описывали причины, побудившие принять столь радикальное решение, декларировалось верховенство законодательства отделившегося субъекта и содержалась просьба о признании суверенитета новообразованного государства со стороны международного сообщества. Анализ таких актов может предоставить ценную информацию о причинах сецессии. Исследование данных причин значимо не только с теоретической, но и с практической точки зрения, поскольку на их основе могут быть разработаны правовые механизмы предотвращения сецессии в современных государствах. В рамках данной работы рассмотрены акты о независимости прибалтийских республик 1988–1990 гг., принятые в период распада социалистической системы в Восточной Европе. Будучи флагманами этого процесса, Эстония, Латвия и Литва в своих актах наиболее детально обосновали свой выбор, в связи с чем принятые ими декларации представляют безусловный интерес для правовой науки. На основе метода моделирования исторических процессов и концепции path dependence (признания зависимости конечного результата от отдаленных и даже случайных событий прошлого), с учетом полученного в рамках анализа актов о независимости материала о причинах сецессии, предпринята попытка разработать модели «мягкой» сецессии прибалтийских республик, которая была бы возможна в случае выбора иного варианта поведения в точках бифуркации. В качестве основных точек «ветвления», открывающих «окна возможностей» для прибалтийских республик, автор называет разработку нового Союзного договора, реформы перестроечного периода, выбор вектора этнонациональной политики в союзных республиках, выбор правового основания и процедуры сецессии. Описываются негативные последствия сложившегося сценария развития отношений между Россией и прибалтийскими республиками и преимущества мирного разрешения конфликта между отделяющимся и «материнским» государством.</p></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="en"><p>For modern states, secession is a radical way of resolving the accumulated contradictions between them and the “mother” states, into which they entered for one reason or another. Ever since the adoption of the United States Declaration of Independence in 1776, a kind of tradition of formalizing the secession with a special act of independence has emerged in international law, in which its creators describe the reasons that prompted such a radical decision, declares the supremacy of the legislation of the seceded entity and contains a request for recognition of the sovereignty of the newly formed states from the international community. Analysis of such acts can provide valuable information on the reasons for secession and allow the development of legal mechanisms to prevent it. Within the framework of this work, the acts of independence of the Baltic republics of 1988 – 1990 are considered, adopted during the collapse of the socialist system of Eastern Europe. Being the flagships of this process, Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania in their acts substantiated their choice in the most detailed way, in connection with which the declarations they adopted are of undoubted interest for the researcher. Based on the method of modeling historical processes and the concept of “path dependence”, taking into account the material on the reasons for the secession obtained in the framework of the analysis of acts of independence, an attempt was made to develop a model of “peaceful secession” of the Baltic republics, which would be possible in the case of choosing a different option of behavior at the points bifurcation. The author names the development of a new Union Treaty, reforms of the perestroika period, the choice of the vector of ethno-national policy in the Union republics, the choice of the legal basis and the procedure of secession as the main points of “branching” that open “windows of opportunity” for the Baltic republics. The negative consequences of the current scenario of the development of relations between Russia and the Baltic republics and the advantages of a peaceful resolution of the conflict between the seceding and the “mother” state are described.</p></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>сецессия</kwd><kwd>акты о независимости</kwd><kwd>причины сецессии</kwd><kwd>страны Прибалтики</kwd><kwd>распад СССР</kwd><kwd>path dependence</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>secession</kwd><kwd>acts of independence</kwd><kwd>reasons for secession</kwd><kwd>the Baltic countries</kwd><kwd>collapse of the USSR</kwd><kwd>“path dependence”</kwd></kwd-group><funding-group><funding-statement xml:lang="ru">Исследование выполнено при финансовой поддержке РФФИ в рамках научного проекта 20-011-00418.</funding-statement><funding-statement xml:lang="en">The reported study was funded by RFBR, project no 20-011-00418.</funding-statement></funding-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="cit1"><label>1</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Агеева К.А. 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