centeroКонтуры глобальных трансформаций: политика, экономика, правоOutlines of global transformations: politics, economics, law2542-02402587-9324Center for Crisis Society Studies10.23932/2542-0240-2019-12-3-94-108centero-491Research ArticleВ рамках дискуссииUnder DiscussionПроисхождение нового международного (бес)порядкаOrigins of the New International (Dis)orderhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-8659-262XБисонМ.BeesonM.

профессор, International Politics in the School of Social Science

WA 6009, 35, Stirling Highway, Перт, Австралия

Professor, International Politics in the School of Social Science

WA 6009, 35, Stirling Highway, Perth, Australia

mark.beeson@uwa.edu.auUniversity of Western AustraliaАвстралияUniversity of Western AustraliaAustralia201923112019123На пути к новому миропорядку94108Copyright © Бисон М., 20192019Бисон М.Beeson M.Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.https://www.ogt-journal.com/jour/article/view/491

Старый международный порядок, созданный под эгидой американской гегемонии после Второй мировой войны, похоже, распадается. Отчасти это является следствием перераспределения материальных сил в международной системе, но также связано и со стремлением других держав, в особенности Китая, играть более значимую роль. Отчасти в этом повинны действия администрации Д. Трампа, провозгласившей принцип «America First». Следовательно, неотложные проблемы, такие как борьба с изменением климата, которые, как представляется, требуют международного сотрудничества, вероятно, будут усугубляться и станут еще более трудными для решения. В данной статье подробно описывается и анализируется набор структурных элементов, которые в совокупности сформировали современный международный порядок, но которые испытывают возрастающее напряжение. Некоторые из этих факторов, такие как относительный упадок США, «подъем остальных», сохранение авторитаризма, являются знакомыми чертами долгосрочных исторических изменений. Как представляется автору, значимыми в наше время их делает скрытый в них потенциал сопротивления столь необходимому международному сотрудничеству, необходимому для решительного преодоления коллективных проблем. Новый международный беспорядок несет в себе риск приостановки действия любого порядка как такового – или по крайней мере того порядка, в котором можно было бы жить.

The old international order created under the auspices of American hegemony in the aftermath of World War 2 appears to be unravelling. In part, this is a consequence of a redistribution of material power in the international system as other powers - especially China – seek to play a more prominent role. In part, however, it is a consequence of the actions of the Trump administration and its privileging of ‘America first’. Consequently, urgent challenges such as dealing with climate change, which seem to necessitate international cooperation, are likely to get worse and even more difficult to address. This paper details and analyses the range of ‘structural’ and agential forces that have collectively shaped the contemporary international order, but which are under increasing stress. Some of these factors— the relative of decline of the US, ‘the rise of the rest’, the persistence of authoritarianism— are familiar features of long-run historical change. What makes them significant in our time, I argue, is their potential to impede much needed international cooperation to address unambiguously collective challenges. Consequently, the new international disorder, threatens nothing less than the end of order of any sort—or any sort one might want to live under, at least.

администрация Д. Трампавозвышение КитаяБРИКСмеждународный порядокизменение климатаполитикаTrump administrationrise of ChinaBRICSinternational orderclimate changepoliticsЯ хотел бы поблагодарить главного редактора журнала «Контуры глобальных трансформаций» и рецензентов за их ценные замечания и предложения.I would like to thank OGT’s editor and anonymous reviewers for helpful comments and suggestions.ReferencesAgnew J. (2005) Hegemony: The New Shape of Global Power, Philadelphia: Temple University Press.Agnew J. (2005) Hegemony: The New Shape of Global Power, Philadelphia: Temple University Press.Anderlini J. (2018) China Is at Risk of Becoming a Colonialist Power. Financial Times, September 19, 2018. Available at: https://www.ft.com/content/186743b8-bb25-11e8-94b2-17176fbf93f5, accessed 30.06.2019.Anderlini J. (2018) China Is at Risk of Becoming a Colonialist Power. Financial Times, September 19, 2018. 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The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.