centeroКонтуры глобальных трансформаций: политика, экономика, правоOutlines of global transformations: politics, economics, law2542-02402587-9324Center for Crisis Society Studies10.31249/kgt/2025.04.06centero-1976Research ArticleКитайский глобальный проект для ЕвразииThe Chinese Global Project for EurasiaСтратегия Китая в Центральной Азии сквозь призму модели институционально управляемого соразвитияChina’s Strategy in Central Asia Through the Prism of the Institutionally Governed Co-development Model.https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7425-9029СенюкН. Ю.SeniukN. Yu.

Нинель Юрьевна Сенюк, кандидат экономических наук, доцент Факультета мировой экономики и мировой политики

ул. Малая Ордынка, д. 17, г. Москва, 101000

Ninel Yu. Seniuk, PhD (Economics), Associate Professor, Faculty of World Economy and International Affairs

Malaya Ordynka Street, 17, Moscow

nseniuk@hse.ruhttps://orcid.org/0009-0009-9619-4113СабанцевА. И.SabantsevA. I.

Александр Игоревич Сабанцев, стажер-исследователь Центра стратегических исследований Института мировой военной экономики и стратегии

ул. Малая Ордынка, д. 17, г. Москва, 101000

Alexander I. Sabantsev, Research Intern, Center for Strategic Studies, Institute for World Military Economy and Strategy

Malaya Ordynka Street, 17, Moscow, 101000

asabantsev@hse.ruhttps://orcid.org/0009-0009-1312-5594КозловаЕ. А.KozlovaE. A.

Екатерина Андреевна Козлова, младший научный сотрудник Центра центральноазиатских исследований

Нахимовский проспект, д. 32, г. Москва, 117218

Ekaterina A. Kozlova, Junior Researcher, Center for Central Asian Studies

Nakhimovskiy Аvenue, 32, Moscow, 117218

kozlova@iccaras.ruНациональный исследовательский университет «Высшая школа экономики»РоссияNational Research University Higher School of EconomicsRussian FederationИнститут Китая и современной Азии Российской академии наук (ИКСА РАН)РоссияInstitute of China and Contemporary Asia of the Russian Academy of Sciences (ICCA RAS)Russian Federation202502082026184105123Copyright © Сенюк Н.Ю., Сабанцев А.И., Козлова Е.А., 20262026Сенюк Н.Ю., Сабанцев А.И., Козлова Е.А.Seniuk N.Y., Sabantsev A.I., Kozlova E.A.Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.https://www.ogt-journal.com/jour/article/view/1976

В статье рассматривается аналитическая модель институционально управляемого соразвития для объяснения механизмов формирования и реализации политико-экономической стратегии Китая в Центральной Азии. Показывается, что данная модель представляет собой иерархическую трехуровневую систему. На стратегическом уровне высшее политическое руководство Китайской Народной Республики (КНР) во главе с Си Цзиньпином и Политбюро Центрального Комитета Коммунистической партии Китая (ЦК КПК) формулирует доктринальные основы (в частности, «Сообщество единой судьбы», пятилетние планы). На политико-институциональном уровне эти установки переводятся в плоскость межгосударственных отношений, прежде всего через китаецентричный формат C+C5 и дифференцированную сеть двусторонних межправительственных комитетов. На исполнительном уровне действует «национальная команда» акторов (включая профильные госорганы, госкорпорации, политические банки и суверенные фонды), обеспечивающая непосредственную реализацию проектов. Указанная модель выходит за рамки простой формулы «политика ведет экономику» и функционирует как «мягкое проектное управление». В этой системе высокоуровневые политические решения запускают целостную экосистему, использующую организационные и финансовые ресурсы для планомерного и долгосрочного переформатирования геоэкономического ландшафта региона в соответствии со стратегическими интересами КНР.

The article discusses an analytical model of “institutionally-governed co-development” to explain the mechanisms for shaping and implementing China’s political-economic strategy in Central Asia. It is demonstrated that this model constitutes a hierarchical three-level system. At the strategic level, the top political leadership of the PRC, headed by Xi Jinping and the Politburo, formulates the doctrinal foundations (notably, the “Community of a Shared Future” and five-year plans). At the political-institutional level, these guidelines move into inter-state relations, primarily through the Sino-centric C+C5 format and a differentiated network of bilateral intergovernmental committees. At the executive level, a “national team” of actors (including relevant government bodies, state-owned corporations, policy banks, and sovereign funds) operates to ensure the direct implementation of projects. This model goes beyond the simple “politics leads the economy” formula and functions as “soft project governance”. In this system, high-level political decisions trigger a holistic ecosystem that uses organizational and financial resources to systematically and long-term reshape the region’s geo-economic landscape in accordance with the strategic interests of the PRC.

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The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.